Binomial Distribution/Example/Arbitrary Example 1

From ProofWiki
Jump to navigation Jump to search

Example of Binomial Distribution

Let a die be cast $4$ times.

Let a score of $6$ be denoted as a success.

Then the experiment can be modelled by a binomial distribution $\Binomial n p$ such that $n = 4$ and $p = \dfrac 1 6$.

Thus the probability of $2$ successes is $\dfrac {25} {216}$.


Proof

The experiment of casting a die can be modelled as a Bernoulli process.

Hence from Bernoulli Process as Binomial Distribution, the model is appropriate.

Let $\map P k$ be the probability of $k$ successes.

Then by definition of binomial distribution:

$\map P k = \dbinom 4 k \paren {\dfrac 1 6}^k \paren {\dfrac 5 6}^{4 - k}$


Hence:

\(\ds \map P 2\) \(=\) \(\ds \dbinom 4 2 \paren {\dfrac 1 6}^2 \paren {\dfrac 5 6}^2\)
\(\ds \) \(=\) \(\ds 6 \times \dfrac 1 {6^2} \dfrac {5^2} {6^2}\)
\(\ds \) \(=\) \(\ds \dfrac {5^2} {6^3}\)
\(\ds \) \(=\) \(\ds \dfrac {25} {216}\)

$\blacksquare$


Sources