Capture-Recapture Sampling/Examples/Arbitrary Example 1

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Example of Capture-Recapture Sampling

Let $25$ squirrels be captured, marked and released.

On a later date, let $40$ squirrels be captured and inspected.

Let $5$ of those be ones which were marked on the first capture exercise.


Then a fair estimate of the entire population of squirrels is $200$.


Proof

Let:

$n_1$ be the number of squirrels captured, marked and released on the first round.
$n_2$ be the number of squirrels captured on the second round.
$m$ be the number of marked squirrels in the sample captured on the second round.

Then we have:

\(\ds n_1\) \(=\) \(\ds 25\)
\(\ds n_2\) \(=\) \(\ds 40\)
\(\ds m\) \(=\) \(\ds 5\)
\(\ds \leadsto \ \ \) \(\ds \dfrac {n_1 n_2} m\) \(=\) \(\ds 200\) Definition of Capture-Recapture Sampling

$\blacksquare$


Sources