Elementary Properties of Probability Measure
Contents |
Theorem
Let $\mathcal E$ be an experiment with probability space $\left({\Omega, \Sigma, \Pr}\right)$.
The probability measure $\Pr$ of $\mathcal E$ has the following properties:
- $(1): \quad \Pr \left({\varnothing}\right) = 0$
- $(2): \quad \forall A \in \Sigma: \Pr \left({\complement_\Omega \left({A}\right)}\right) = 1 - \Pr \left({A}\right)$
where $\complement_\Omega \left({A}\right)$ denotes the complement of $A$ relative to $\Omega$
- $(3): \quad \forall A \in \Sigma: \Pr \left({A}\right) \le 1$.
Proof
From the conditions for $\Pr$ to be a probability measure, we have:
- $(1): \quad \forall A \in \Sigma: 0 \le \Pr \left({A}\right)$
- $(2): \quad \Pr \left({\Omega}\right) = 1$
- $(3): \quad \displaystyle \Pr \left({\bigcup_{i \ge 1} A_i}\right) = \sum_{i \ge 1} \Pr \left({A_i}\right)$ where all $A_i$ are pairwise disjoint.
$(1)$: Probability of Empty Event
From the definition of event space, we have:
- $\Omega \in \Sigma$
- $A \in \Sigma \implies \complement_\Omega \left({A}\right) \in \Sigma$
Hence as $\varnothing \cap \Omega = \varnothing$ and $\varnothing \cup \Omega = \Omega$, we have:
| \(\displaystyle \) | \(\displaystyle \Pr \left({\Omega}\right)\) | \(=\) | \(\displaystyle \Pr \left({\varnothing \cup \Omega}\right)\) | \(\displaystyle \) | |||
| \(\displaystyle \) | \(\displaystyle \) | \(=\) | \(\displaystyle \Pr \left({\varnothing}\right) + \Pr \left({\Omega}\right)\) | \(\displaystyle \) |
As $\Pr \left({\Omega}\right) = 1$, it follows that $\Pr \left({\varnothing}\right) = 0$.
$(2)$: Probability of Non-Occurence of Event
Let $A \in \Sigma$ be an event.
Then $\complement_\Omega \left({A}\right) \in \Sigma$ from the definition of event space.
From Intersection with Relative Complement, we have that $A \cap \complement_\Omega \left({A}\right) = \varnothing$.
From Union with Relative Complement, we have that $A \cup \complement_\Omega \left({A}\right) = \Omega$.
So $\Pr \left({A}\right) + \Pr \left({\complement_\Omega \left({A}\right)}\right) = 1$ from above, and so $\Pr \left({\complement_\Omega \left({A}\right)}\right) = 1 - \Pr \left({A}\right)$.
$(3)$: Probabilty Not Greater than One
From the above: $\Pr \left({A}\right) + \Pr \left({\complement_\Omega \left({A}\right)}\right) = 1$.
We have that $0 \le \Pr \left({\complement_\Omega \left({A}\right)}\right)$, hence:
- $\forall A \in \Sigma: \Pr \left({A}\right) \le 1$
Sources
- Geoffrey Grimmett and Dominic Welsh: Probability: An Introduction (1986): $\S 1.3$: Example $10$