Lightning Never Strikes Twice

Fallacy

Lightning never strikes twice in the same place.

Refutation

The mathematical idea behind this fallacy is that if a supposedly-improbable event has happened once, then it is less likely for it to happen again.

This is similar to the fallacy that if a fair coin has come up heads a lot when tossed, then the chance of it coming up tails next time must be increased.

This theorem requires a proof. You can help $\mathsf{Pr} \infty \mathsf{fWiki}$ by crafting such a proof. To discuss this page in more detail, feel free to use the talk page. When this work has been completed, you may remove this instance of {{ProofWanted}} from the code. If you would welcome a second opinion as to whether your work is correct, add a call to {{Proofread}} the page.