Lightning Never Strikes Twice

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Fallacy

Lightning never strikes twice in the same place.


Refutation

The mathematical idea behind this fallacy is that if a supposedly-improbable event has happened once, then it is less likely for it to happen again.

This is similar to the fallacy that if a fair coin has come up heads a lot when tossed, then the chance of it coming up tails next time must be increased.

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